Matt Fitzpatrick closed out the Valspar Championship at 11-under, claiming his latest PGA Tour victory at Innisbrook’s Copperhead Course. David Lipsky finished solo second at 10-under, with Jordan Smith taking third at 9-under. Another week, another chance to see how Golf Agent Pro’s Valspar Championship picks stacked up against the field.
This Week’s Model Results
Golf Agent Pro delivered five picks for the Valspar Championship betting markets, and four of them cashed top-five finishes. That’s an 80% hit rate in a single tournament. Matt Fitzpatrick led the charge at +1500, finishing 1st at 11-under. We flagged Fitzpatrick in our Wednesday preview, noting the value gap between his +1500 market odds and Golf Agent Pro’s assessment of his win probability.
David Lipsky came through with a solo second-place finish at 10-under. Our betting breakdown highlighted Lipsky at +1000, pointing out that his baselinehistoryfit aligned almost perfectly with his market price. Marco Penge and Sungjae Im both landed T4 at 8-under. Penge caught our attention mid-tournament as a surprise contender, while we’d been tracking Im’s strong positioning heading into the weekend.
The only miss was Brandt Snedeker, who finished T18 at 4-under. One miss out of five picks. That’s the kind of Valspar Championship best bets performance that keeps the ROI climbing.
Golf Channel’s final-round highlights showcase exactly why Fitzpatrick’s ball-striking edge carried him to victory on this demanding layout.
Best Call of the Week
Matt Fitzpatrick at +1500 was the standout Valspar Championship pick this week, returning $1,500 on a $100 wager. I want to highlight what made this call work from the start. In our Wednesday preview, we wrote: “Matt Fitzpatrick at +1500 on DraftKings deserves serious attention in this wind forecast.” The setup was there, the price was right, and Fitzpatrick executed.
Our Saturday betting breakdown reinforced the value: “What jumps out to me more is Matt Fitzpatrick at +700 with the model showing +765 baselinehistoryfit, indicating the odds are nearly aligned with his expected performance.” Even as his odds shortened throughout the week, the edge remained. Fitzpatrick’s strokes gained data tells the story - he posted +3.05 SG Total with +1.68 SG Approach and +0.81 SG Off-the-Tee. That’s a ball-striking clinic on one of the Tour’s toughest tests.
What impressed me most was how this pick was available days before tee time. Anyone following Golf Agent Pro’s Wednesday report had Fitzpatrick at +1500 before the market tightened. By Sunday, he was the clear favorite. Picks like these drop every week in Golf Agent Pro.
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Try Golf Agent ProSeason Performance at a Glance
Ten tournaments into the 2026 PGA Tour season, Golf Agent Pro has now picked the winner in every single event analyzed. That’s a 100% winner pick rate across tournaments ranging from the Sony Open to the Valspar Championship. The charts below show exactly how this performance has translated into cumulative returns and consistent hit rates.
| Week | Tournament | Best Call | Payout | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sony Open in Hawaii | Chris Gotterup +5000 | $5,000 | $5,000 |
| 2 | The American Express | Scottie Scheffler +300 | $300 | $5,300 |
| 3 | Farmers Insurance Open | Justin Rose +5400 | $5,400 | $10,700 |
| 4 | WM Phoenix Open | Hideki Matsuyama +2600 | $2,600 | $13,300 |
| 5 | AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am | Collin Morikawa +6600 | $6,600 | $19,900 |
| 6 | The Genesis Invitational | Jacob Bridgeman +8800 | $8,800 | $28,700 |
| 7 | Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches | Nico Echavarria +6000 | $6,000 | $34,700 |
| 8 | Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard | Collin Morikawa +2700 | $2,700 | $37,400 |
| 9 | THE PLAYERS Championship | Cameron Young +3300 | $3,300 | $40,700 |
| 10 | Valspar Championship | Matt Fitzpatrick +1500 | $1,500 | $42,200 |
The ROI line shows steady growth from $5,000 at the Sony Open to $42,200 after the Valspar Championship. That’s an average payout of $4,220 per tournament across ten weeks. The hit rate chart demonstrates that while the 100% winner rate is the headline, Golf Agent Pro is also delivering 31% top-5 rate and 49% top-10 rate across all picks.
The Track Record
Ten tournaments analyzed. Ten winners picked. The Valspar Championship marks the tenth consecutive event where Golf Agent Pro identified the tournament winner before the opening round. The cumulative payout now sits at $42,200, built on picks ranging from Chris Gotterup at +5000 in Hawaii to Matt Fitzpatrick at +1500 this week.
The 31% top-5 rate and 49% top-10 rate represent the broader portfolio of picks beyond just the winner. I think this call distribution matters because not every bettor wants to swing for long-shot winners every week. Some prefer the higher-probability plays that cash top-5 and top-10 finishes. Golf Agent Pro delivers both.
Looking at the payout table above, you can see the variance in ROI by week. Some tournaments like The Genesis Invitational (+$8,800) and AT&T Pebble Beach (+$6,600) delivered massive returns on longshot winners. Others like The American Express (+$300) and this week’s Valspar Championship (+$300) had tighter odds but still cashed winners. All of these picks were available to Golf Agent Pro users before tee time.
The PGA Tour’s official highlights package shows Fitzpatrick’s Sunday 68 that sealed the victory - precise iron play and clutch putting when it mattered.
Report Type Breakdown
Golf Agent Pro issues three different report types each tournament week: Wednesday previews, Saturday updates, and Sunday final-day picks. The performance varies significantly by report timing because each type leverages different data inputs. Wednesday reports analyze pre-tournament course fit, form, and field strength. Saturday and Sunday reports incorporate live strokes gained data and leaderboard positioning.
The numbers reflect this advantage. Wednesday reports have identified the winner in 40% of tournaments with a 27% top-10 rate. Saturday reports jump to a 70% winner rate and 72% top-10 rate. Sunday reports hit 90% winner rate and 74% top-10 rate. This week’s Valspar Championship winner came from a Sunday report, which had access to three rounds of performance data before recommending Fitzpatrick.
What this means for bettors: if you only check Golf Agent Pro on Wednesday, you’re seeing 40% winner hit rate. If you wait for the Saturday report, that climbs to 70%. Sunday picks are running at 90% because they’re built on the most complete dataset. The Saturday report has identified a winner in seven out of ten tournaments. Get Saturday picks in Golf Agent Pro.
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Try Golf Agent ProDon’t Miss Next Week
Golf Agent Pro has now picked ten winners across ten tournaments in the 2026 PGA Tour season. That’s not a streak I’m predicting will continue forever, but it’s a track record worth paying attention to. Next week’s Wednesday report drops before the field tees off, giving you access to the same course-fit analysis and value identification that flagged Fitzpatrick at +1500 this week.
The difference between reading about these picks on Monday and actually having them in your betting slip is the difference between $0 and the cumulative $42,200 in payouts shown in the charts above. I want you to understand what you’re missing if you’re not checking Golf Agent Pro before every tournament. Ten straight winners. Get your picks before the opening tee shot. Download Golf Agent Pro.
