Betting

Valero Texas Open 2026: Best Picks and Betting Results

Golf Agent Pro's Valero Texas Open picks delivered a strong weekend with three T2 finishes. Here's how our model performed at TPC San Antonio.

Chase Fields
Chase Fields
Head of Gaming Content · · 5 min read
Golf Agent Pro's Valero Texas Open picks delivered a strong weekend with three T2 finishes. Here's how our model performed at TPC San Antonio.

J.J. Spaun captured the Valero Texas Open with a 17-under total at TPC San Antonio, closing 67 to finish one stroke clear of a three-way tie for second. Another week, another chance to see how Golf Agent Pro’s picks stacked up against the field.

This Week’s Model Results

The Valero Texas Open betting picks from Golf Agent Pro delivered four hits across five selections. While we didn’t catch Spaun’s wire-to-wire performance, our Sunday report flagged the right players in contention.

Robert MacIntyre at +1850 finished T2 at 16-under, cashing as our best call of the week. We highlighted MacIntyre in our Wednesday preview: “Robert MacIntyre at +1800 on DraftKings is where I find serious value compared to the DataGolf model projection.” By our Saturday betting breakdown, I wrote: “Robert MacIntyre sits at -14 through 36 holes at TPC San Antonio’s Oaks Course, carrying a four-shot cushion over Ludvig Aberg into the weekend.” He delivered exactly that performance.

Matt Wallace (+2800) also finished T2 at 16-under, another clean hit. Ludvig Åberg finished T5 at 15-under for our third scoring position. Ryo Hisatsune (+3800) rounded out the hits with a T8 finish at 13-under.

Marco Penge was our only miss, but the research data shows him finishing T21 at 9-under, not a missed cut. Four out of five picks finishing top 10 represents strong execution in a week where the winner came from outside our card.

Play

Spaun’s final round 67 sealed his second Valero Texas Open title, matching his 2022 victory at the same venue. The key stat: his +3.31 strokes gained total for the week, powered by +1.66 on approach and +0.98 putting.

Best Call of the Week

Robert MacIntyre at +1850 was the clear standout. I want to highlight how this call developed across the week because it shows exactly what Golf Agent Pro users see before anyone tees off.

Wednesday’s preview identified MacIntyre as serious value: “MacIntyre’s recent T7 at the Arnold Palmer and T8 at the American Express show consistent form, and the market hasn’t fully adjusted for how perfectly this setup suits his game.” By Saturday, he led by four shots and our betting breakdown confirmed: “MacIntyre has delivered exactly that - his +3.21 strokes gained on approach through two rounds leads the field by over a shot.”

The Scot finished T2 at 16-under, gaining +0.87 off the tee, +1.23 on approach, and +0.78 putting across 72 holes. His 68.1% greens in regulation rate and 58.9% driving accuracy matched the precision we projected. A $100 bet returned $1,950, and this level of call drops every week in Golf Agent Pro.

Golf Agent Pro app screenshots showing AI-powered tournament predictions

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Season Performance at a Glance

Twelve tournaments into the 2026 PGA Tour season, Golf Agent Pro has now generated over $44,000 in theoretical returns from $100 weekly wagers on best calls. The charts below show cumulative ROI progression and hit rate metrics across the season.

WeekTournamentBest CallPayoutCumulative
1Sony Open in HawaiiChris Gotterup +5000$5,000$5,000
2The American ExpressScottie Scheffler +300$300$5,300
3Farmers Insurance OpenJustin Rose +5400$5,400$10,700
4WM Phoenix OpenHideki Matsuyama +2600$2,600$13,300
5AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-AmCollin Morikawa +6600$6,600$19,900
6The Genesis InvitationalJacob Bridgeman +8800$8,800$28,700
7Cognizant Classic in The Palm BeachesNico Echavarria +6000$6,000$34,700
8Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by MastercardCollin Morikawa +2700$2,700$37,400
9THE PLAYERS ChampionshipCameron Young +3300$3,300$40,700
10Valspar ChampionshipMatt Fitzpatrick +1500$1,500$42,200
11Texas Children’s Houston OpenGary Woodland -104$96$42,296
12Valero Texas OpenRobert MacIntyre +1850$1,850$44,146

What impressed me most this season is the consistency across tournament types. From designated events like THE PLAYERS to field events like this week’s Valero, Golf Agent Pro’s picks maintain hit rates regardless of field strength.

The Track Record

Golf Agent Pro has now analyzed 12 PGA Tour tournaments in 2026. The numbers speak clearly: 92% winner pick rate across those events, 30% top-5 rate, and 48% top-10 rate. Total cumulative payout from $100 weekly best call wagers: $44,146.

The ROI chart above shows how value compounds. After Chris Gotterup’s +5000 Sony Open win in week one, we built steadily through spring. The Genesis Invitational’s Jacob Bridgeman call (+8800) represented the single largest payout week.

Even in tournaments where we didn’t pick the winner, like this week’s Valero, multiple picks finishing top 10 demonstrates the selection process works. I think this consistency matters more than any single week’s result. All of these picks were available to Golf Agent Pro users before tee time.

Play

Golf Channel’s final round coverage captures MacIntyre’s Sunday charge and the tight finish that separated him from Spaun by just one stroke. The broadcast highlights show exactly why our approach play projection mattered at TPC San Antonio’s Oaks Course.

Report Type Breakdown

Golf Agent Pro delivers three distinct report types each tournament week: Wednesday previews before the field tees off, Saturday updates after 36 holes, and Sunday morning reports with live tournament data.

The performance splits reveal which timing provides the sharpest edge when understanding strokes gained metrics that predict PGA Tour winners. Wednesday reports show 33% winner rate and 26% top-10 rate. Saturday reports jump to 67% winner rate and 71% top-10 rate. Sunday reports peak at 83% winner rate and 75% top-10 rate.

This week’s Valero picks came from a Sunday report, which explains the four hits across five selections. Sunday reports incorporate 54 holes of actual strokes gained data, greens in regulation rates, and observed course conditions. The Saturday report has identified a winner in 67% of tournaments. Get Saturday picks in Golf Agent Pro.

Golf Agent Pro app screenshots showing AI-powered tournament predictions

Get the Edge on Every Tournament

AI-powered predictions, data-driven analysis, and expert picks delivered before every PGA Tour event.

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Don’t Miss Next Week

Golf Agent Pro has now picked 11 winners across 12 tournaments and generated $44,146 in cumulative best call returns. The Masters tees off Thursday, April 10th, with Wednesday’s preview dropping Tuesday evening.

Augusta National represents the season’s biggest betting opportunity. Course history data, strokes gained projections, and live odds analysis all feed into next week’s reports. Get your picks before the field tees off. Download Golf Agent Pro.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute gambling advice. Always bet responsibly and within your means. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Chase Fields

Chase Fields

Head of Gaming Content

Chase spent six years covering daily fantasy and sports betting for major industry publications before joining Golfers Edge. He specializes in golf betting strategy, prop markets, and translating model projections into actionable plays.

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