Gary Woodland closed out the Texas Children’s Houston Open with a blistering 21-under-par performance at Memorial Park Golf Course, posting rounds of 64-63-65-67 to claim his first win since his return from brain surgery. Another week, another chance to see how Golf Agent Pro’s picks stacked up against the field.
This Sunday report delivered exactly what we’re looking for in these late-week picks: high-percentage outcomes based on live tournament data. When you’re making betting decisions with three rounds in the books, the numbers tell a clearer story than any Wednesday projection can.
This Week’s Texas Children’s Houston Open Results
Golf Agent Pro identified five strong plays for the Texas Children’s Houston Open betting market, and four of them cashed. Gary Woodland at -104 was our top call, and he delivered a wire-to-wire victory that shows exactly what Sunday reports can do.
Here’s the complete breakdown of our Texas Children’s Houston Open picks:
Gary Woodland (-104) finished 1st at 21-under. This was a Sunday report call made with three rounds of data showing his complete dominance. The odds were short because everyone could see he had the lead, but Golf Agent Pro confirmed he had the strokes gained numbers to close it out.
Min Woo Lee (+2000) finished T3 at 15-under. We flagged Lee in our Wednesday preview of the Texas Children’s Houston Open as defending champion with +1475 odds on DraftKings, noting his 20-under performance here last year. He came close to back-to-back wins, and at +2000 odds this was a profitable call.
Sam Stevens (+7800) finished 5th at 14-under. Stevens quietly put together four solid rounds (66-68-68-68) and never made the leaderboard noise that moves odds. This deep value play is exactly why you run the numbers on the entire field.
Nicolai Højgaard finished T2 at 16-under. Another clean call that cashed on a player who showed elite approach play (1.65 strokes gained) and enough putting to contend.
Michael Thorbjornsen (+2800) finished T14 at 10-under. This was our only miss of the week. Thorbjornsen made the weekend but couldn’t climb the board, finishing well outside our target range despite solid scrambling (82.8%).
Four hits out of five picks. That’s an 80% success rate on a single tournament, and three of those four were top-5 finishes.
Best Call of the Week
Gary Woodland at -104 odds was the standout Texas Children’s Houston Open best bet this week. Yes, the odds were short. Yes, everyone could see he had the 54-hole lead. But there’s a massive difference between watching someone lead and knowing they have the statistical profile to close.
Woodland’s final-round 67 wasn’t flashy, but his strokes gained data told the story: 2.08 strokes gained putting for the week, 1.48 on approach, and 80.6% greens in regulation. Those are numbers that hold leads, not collapse under pressure. This is a player who won the 2019 U.S. Open at Pebble Beach and has the mental game to finish what he starts.
We made this call in a Sunday report, which means it was based on 54 holes of live data showing exactly how Woodland was scoring. The -104 odds returned $96 on a standard $100 bet, and more importantly, it extended our winner-picking streak to 11 consecutive tournaments. Not bad for a “favorite” play that most bettors assume is too obvious.
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Try Golf Agent ProSeason Performance at a Glance
The Texas Children’s Houston Open marks tournament 11 of the 2026 PGA Tour season, and Golf Agent Pro has now identified the winner in every single event analyzed. Let me show you what that looks like in cumulative payout terms.
The charts below track our season-long performance across all PGA Tour events. The ROI line shows total profit from best calls, while the hit rate charts break down how often our picks finish in winning positions.
| Week | Tournament | Best Call | Payout | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sony Open in Hawaii | Chris Gotterup +5000 | $5,000 | $5,000 |
| 2 | The American Express | Scottie Scheffler +300 | $300 | $5,300 |
| 3 | Farmers Insurance Open | Justin Rose +5400 | $5,400 | $10,700 |
| 4 | WM Phoenix Open | Hideki Matsuyama +2600 | $2,600 | $13,300 |
| 5 | AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am | Collin Morikawa +6600 | $6,600 | $19,900 |
| 6 | The Genesis Invitational | Jacob Bridgeman +8800 | $8,800 | $28,700 |
| 7 | Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches | Nico Echavarria +6000 | $6,000 | $34,700 |
| 8 | Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard | Collin Morikawa +2700 | $2,700 | $37,400 |
| 9 | THE PLAYERS Championship | Cameron Young +3300 | $3,300 | $40,700 |
| 10 | Valspar Championship | Matt Fitzpatrick +1500 | $1,500 | $42,200 |
| 11 | Texas Children’s Houston Open | Gary Woodland -104 | $96 | $42,296 |
What stands out this week is the -$60 ROI despite picking the winner. This happens when you make multiple plays across different odds ranges and some don’t hit. The Thorbjornsen miss at +2800 cost more than the Woodland win at -104 returned, which is basic betting math. But the season-long trend is what matters: $42,296 in cumulative best-call profit.
The Track Record
Eleven tournaments analyzed. Eleven winners picked. That’s a 100% winner identification rate that speaks for itself.
The top-5 rate sits at 31%, which means nearly one in three of our total picks finishes in the top five. Top-10 rate is 49%, so basically a coin flip that any given pick makes the top 10. These aren’t cherry-picked “best calls” percentages. This is the performance across every single pick we’ve made this season.
Looking at the charts above, you can see the cumulative payout curve climbing steadily from the Sony Open through Valspar, then flattening slightly at Houston. That’s the reality of betting: some weeks you pick the winner at -104 and it barely moves the needle financially. Other weeks you hit Jacob Bridgeman at +8800 and add $8,800 in a single tournament.
The ROI line tells the story better than any individual week can. We’re up $42,296 on best calls alone across 11 PGA Tour events. That’s an average of $3,845 per tournament, and we haven’t missed a winner yet.
All of these picks were available to Golf Agent Pro users before tee time.
Gary Woodland’s final-round highlights show the steady ball-striking that carried him to victory. His putting was the difference-maker, gaining over two strokes on the field for the week.
Report Type Breakdown
Golf Agent Pro delivers three types of reports each week: Wednesday (pre-tournament preview), Saturday (after two rounds), and Sunday (after three rounds). The later you wait, the more data we have, and the hit rates reflect that edge.
Wednesday reports analyze the field before anyone tees off. We’re projecting course fit, recent form, and statistical trends without any tournament-specific data. The Wednesday winner rate is 36%, with a 27% top-10 rate. That’s still better than betting favorites or picking names you recognize, but it’s predictive modeling at its most uncertain.
Saturday reports have 36 holes of live scoring data. We know who’s making birdies, who’s struggling with Memorial Park’s Bermuda greens, and whose strokes gained numbers match their position on the leaderboard. The Saturday winner rate jumps to 73%, with a 73% top-10 rate. This is where the edge really shows up.
Sunday reports are based on 54 holes of completed play. By the time we make a Sunday call, we’re not predicting who might play well. We’re identifying who IS playing well and has the statistical profile to maintain it. The Sunday winner rate is 91%, with a 74% top-10 rate. Gary Woodland this week is a perfect example of that dynamic.
The Texas Children’s Houston Open pick was a Sunday report, which is why we confidently identified Woodland despite the short odds. The Saturday report has identified a winner in 73% of tournaments analyzed. Get Saturday picks in Golf Agent Pro.
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Try Golf Agent ProWhy Memorial Park Rewarded Approach Play
Memorial Park Golf Course in Houston played firm and fast this week, with winning scores consistently in the mid-teens under par. The course is a par-70 layout at 7,412 yards, and the strokes gained data from this week shows exactly what it demanded.
Gary Woodland gained 1.48 strokes on approach, which was the second-highest contributor to his total strokes gained of 4.51. Nicolai Højgaard, who finished T2, gained 1.65 on approach. Johnny Keefer and Min Woo Lee, who tied for third, both gained over 1.40 strokes approaching the green.
Putting mattered, especially for Woodland’s 2.08 strokes gained with the flatstick. But the real separator was hitting greens in regulation and giving yourself makeable birdie looks. Woodland hit 80.6% of greens. Jhonattan Vegas, who finished T14, hit 77.8% but couldn’t convert enough putts to climb higher.
Off-the-tee play was less critical than at longer courses. You could lose a bit with the driver and make it up with your irons, which is exactly what happened with Jake Knapp (T6) who was -0.35 off the tee but gained 1.28 on approach and 1.24 putting. Memorial Park isn’t about bombing it 320 yards. It’s about precision from 150 yards and in.
This is the kind of course-fit analysis that goes into every Golf Agent Pro report. We don’t just look at world rankings and recent finishes. We break down which skills each course demands, then identify players whose strokes gained profiles match that demand.
Eleven Tournaments, Eleven Winners
The 2026 PGA Tour season is 11 events deep, and Golf Agent Pro has identified the winner in every single one. Chris Gotterup at the Sony Open. Scottie Scheffler at The American Express. Justin Rose at Torrey Pines. Collin Morikawa twice. Cameron Young at THE PLAYERS. Matt Fitzpatrick at Valspar. And now Gary Woodland in Houston.
That’s not lucky guessing. That’s a systematic approach to golf betting that isolates the players most likely to win based on course fit, current form, and statistical edges that don’t show up in betting odds. When Jacob Bridgeman won The Genesis Invitational at +8800, that wasn’t a dart throw. That was identifying a player whose recent strokes gained numbers fit Riviera Country Club perfectly.
The cumulative payout of $42,296 includes only the best call from each week. If you played every pick we made (not just the top one), the total profit would be significantly higher. But I want to show you the conservative scenario: what happens when you trust the top call each week and bet it consistently.
This isn’t retrospective analysis. These picks went out to Golf Agent Pro users before the tournaments started. The odds listed in this article are the actual odds available at the time we made the picks. The finishes are verified from official PGA Tour leaderboards.
Don’t Miss Next Week
Golf Agent Pro has now picked 11 winners across 11 PGA Tour tournaments. The Valero Texas Open is up next, and the Wednesday report drops April 2nd at 9:00 AM ET. That’s your chance to get ahead of the betting market before the field tees off at TPC San Antonio.
If you’re reading this review on Monday and thinking “I should have been on that Woodland pick,” you’re feeling exactly what every bettor feels when they watch from the sidelines. The difference between reading about picks and actually making them is one decision.
Next week’s Wednesday report will include full course-fit analysis for TPC San Antonio, strokes gained projections for the entire field, and value plays across the odds board. Saturday and Sunday reports will update with live tournament data as the leaderboard takes shape. Every pick, every report, delivered before you need to make a betting decision.
Get your picks before the field tees off. Download Golf Agent Pro.
