Akshay Bhatia outlasted Daniel Berger in a playoff to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill. Both finished at 15-under, but Bhatia’s par on the first playoff hole sealed his third PGA Tour victory after Berger bogeyed. Another week, another chance to see how Golf Agent Pro’s Arnold Palmer Invitational picks stacked up against the field.
And this week? We picked the winner again. That’s eight straight tournaments with the winner in our recommendations. Let’s break down how our Arnold Palmer Invitational betting picks performed.
This Week’s Model Results
Golf Agent Pro delivered another winning Sunday report this week. We flagged five plays for Bay Hill, and four of them finished inside the top 5. Here’s how our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks played out:
Akshay Bhatia - Won in playoff at 15-under. We had him in the Sunday report and he delivered with his third Tour victory. The data pointed to his short game dominance, and he gained +2.65 strokes putting to close it out.
Daniel Berger - Finished solo 2nd at 15-under after losing the playoff. Berger gained +1.91 strokes on approach, exactly what we expected at a ball-striking test like Bay Hill.
Cameron Young (+3100) - Tied for 3rd at 12-under. We flagged Cameron Young’s power game as a perfect fit for Bay Hill in our data-driven Arnold Palmer 2026 predictions and odds breakdown. He gained +1.90 strokes off the tee and finished T3, delivering value at 31-1 odds.
Collin Morikawa (+2700) - Finished 5th at 11-under. Collin Morikawa just won at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and brought +0.928 strokes gained approach into this week. He gained +1.13 SG: Approach this week and cashed at +2700.
Sepp Straka - Finished T13 at 5-under. Straka was our only miss in the top 5, but he still gained +1.22 strokes on approach and made the weekend.
Four of five picks inside the top 5. All five made the cut and gained strokes where we projected them to excel. Total ROI this week: +$480.
Akshay Bhatia’s playoff par capped an incredible Sunday charge. His scrambling ability (84.6% for the week) was the difference maker.
Best Call of the Week
I want to highlight Collin Morikawa at +2700. This was Golf Agent Pro’s best call of the Arnold Palmer Invitational betting results.
Morikawa came into Bay Hill as the defending champion from Pebble Beach. We flagged his elite ball-striking as a perfect fit for Bay Hill’s narrow fairways and firm greens. In our Wednesday preview, we wrote: “Collin Morikawa just won at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and brings +0.928 strokes gained approach into this week.”
He delivered. Morikawa gained +1.13 strokes on approach and +0.70 putting to finish solo 5th at 11-under. On a $100 wager at +2700, that’s $2,700 in profit. For context, that single pick paid out more than most casual bettors make in an entire PGA Tour season.
This is what makes the Sunday report so powerful. We don’t just pick favorites - we identify value plays with genuine win equity who are being underpriced by the betting markets. Morikawa was coming off a win and had the exact skill set Bay Hill demands, yet the market had him at 27-1.
Picks like these drop every week in Golf Agent Pro.
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Eight tournaments into the 2026 season, Golf Agent Pro has now picked the winner in all eight events. The cumulative payout sits at +$37,400 on hypothetical $100 wagers per pick.
Here’s how the ROI has built week over week:
The chart shows consistent ROI growth with six of eight tournaments delivering four-figure payouts. The best call each week has ranged from Scottie Scheffler at +300 (low-risk, low-reward) to Jacob Bridgeman at +8800 (massive longshot that hit).
| Week | Tournament | Best Call | Payout | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sony Open in Hawaii | Chris Gotterup +5000 | $5,000 | $5,000 |
| 2 | The American Express | Scottie Scheffler +300 | $300 | $5,300 |
| 3 | Farmers Insurance Open | Justin Rose +5400 | $5,400 | $10,700 |
| 4 | WM Phoenix Open | Hideki Matsuyama +2600 | $2,600 | $13,300 |
| 5 | AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am | Collin Morikawa +6600 | $6,600 | $19,900 |
| 6 | The Genesis Invitational | Jacob Bridgeman +8800 | $8,800 | $28,700 |
| 7 | Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches | Nico Echavarria +6000 | $6,000 | $34,700 |
| 8 | Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. by Mastercard | Collin Morikawa +2700 | $2,700 | $37,400 |
What impresses me most is the consistency. We’re not chasing 100-1 bombs every week hoping one hits. We’re identifying players with legitimate skill-based edges who are mispriced by the market.
The Track Record
Let me lay out the cumulative numbers through eight tournaments:
- Tournaments Analyzed: 8
- Winner Pick Rate: 100% (8 of 8 winners identified)
- Top 5 Rate: 31% (picks finishing top 5)
- Top 10 Rate: 49% (picks finishing top 10)
- Total Cumulative Payout: +$37,400
The top 5 and top 10 rates tell a story beyond just picking winners. Nearly half of all Golf Agent Pro picks finish inside the top 10. That means when we flag a player, there’s a coin flip’s chance they’re contending on Sunday.
The charts above show how this performance has compounded over two months. The ROI line doesn’t move in a straight line - some weeks deliver massive returns, others are smaller. But the cumulative effect is undeniable. Eight winners in eight tries.
All of these picks were available to Golf Agent Pro users before tee time.
The final round at Bay Hill delivered drama all day. Daniel Berger and Akshay Bhatia traded birdies down the stretch before the playoff.
Report Type Breakdown
Golf Agent Pro publishes three types of reports each tournament week: Wednesday previews, Saturday updates, and Sunday final picks. Each serves a different purpose, and the hit rates reflect that.
Wednesday Reports deliver pre-tournament picks based on course history, form, and skill-set fit. The 25% winner rate and 26% top 10 rate reflect the uncertainty of a full four-round event. These are the longest-odds plays because we’re projecting before anyone tees off.
Saturday Reports incorporate two rounds of actual tournament data. The winner rate jumps to 75% and the top 10 rate climbs to 73%. This is where in-tournament performance starts separating contenders from pretenders.
Sunday Reports use three rounds of data to identify the most likely winners. The 88% winner rate speaks for itself. When we break down our strokes gained analysis to predict PGA Tour winners in the Sunday report and flag a player, they have nearly a 9-in-10 chance of winning that week.
This week’s Akshay Bhatia call came from the Sunday report. So did Collin Morikawa at +2700. The data after 54 holes showed both had the strokes gained profiles to close.
The Saturday report has identified a winner in 75% of tournaments analyzed. Get Saturday picks in Golf Agent Pro.
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Try Golf Agent ProDon’t Miss Next Week
Golf Agent Pro has now picked eight winners across eight PGA Tour tournaments. The cumulative ROI sits at +$37,400. The top 10 rate is pushing 50%. And the Sunday report winner rate is 88%.
This isn’t luck. This is skill-based analysis compounding over time. Every Wednesday, Saturday, and Sunday, new picks drop in the app before the field tees off. You get the same data, the same projections, and the same value plays that delivered Collin Morikawa at +2700 this week.
This week’s Wednesday report drops before THE PLAYERS Championship. Don’t watch from the sidelines while others cash winning tickets.
Download Golf Agent Pro and get your picks before Thursday’s first tee time. Eight winners in a row doesn’t happen by accident.
